Market Risk Update: March 2017

There are many market risk factors to monitor. For this post I want to introduce key risk factors that I find to be relevant and add valuable context. This regular update aims to do both. Valuation (P/E Ratio) The cyclically adjusted Shiller P/E ratio, which looks at average earnings over the past 10 years, is […]

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Rates moving on up

Winter storm Stella was a bit of dud here in New York after all the hype in the news. Meanwhile, investors rejoiced as the Fed raised the Fed Funds Rate by 0.25% and plans on two more hikes this year. Two weeks ago a rate hike in March was a 50/50 probability. Then is shot […]

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What’s up with Oil prices?

The crash in Oil prices in 2015 was spectacular. By early 2016, crude was trading just below $30 a barrel compared to over $100 16 months earlier. One of the best trades in early 2016 was buying Oil ETFs. You would have doubled your money in three months. Not to shabby. So far this year, […]

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The return of the Stock Picker

Warren Buffet has been making the rounds due to a new HBO documentary about his life. If you haven’t read The Snowball, add it to your reading list. His investing track record speaks for itself. More importantly, he is an all-around great person. Anyways, his recommendation to non-professional investors is to buy 90% S&P 500 […]

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